The 2023 paper recycling rate is the first using AF&PA's updated methodology, which utilizes extensive industry data, subject matter expertise and detailed U.S. trade data to account for the continued shift of the U.S. balance of trade towards imports.

The 2023 calculations show that paper remains one of the most highly recycled materials in America, with the industry recycling nearly 60% more paper today than it did in 1990 when initial recycling rate goals were established.

"We are a fact-based, data-driven organization, and our updated recycling rate methodology represents the most thorough recycling rate possible using all currently available data.

"This updated methodology, which calculates the amount of paper recycled as a share of the amount of all paper for recovery, reflects our commitment to utilize the best data available to support industry investments and guide our efforts to recover and recycle more paper and paper packaging products."

In 2023, the recycling rate for cardboard was 71-76%. The rate incorporates all primary collection channels - including industrial, commercial, institutional, and residential - combined with a more extensive analysis of U.S. trade data.

To reflect continuously evolving global economic, supply chain, and trade flows, AF&PA updated its recycling rate methodology for estimating product packaging imports/exports as part of the cardboard recycling rate calculations, resulting in the most thorough and fact-based recycling rate possible with currently available data.

The new recycling rate is calculated as the amount of paper recycled as a share of the amount of paper available for recovery. Through the updated methodology, AF&PA has:

• Improved estimates of net imported product packaging using more detailed trade data and better estimates of packaging dimensions based on industry data and expertise.
• Deducted an estimate of materials in recovered paper bales that are not used in manufacturing (e.g., paper not suitable for use in the specific grade; non-paper materials; net moisture).
• In the cardboard recycling rate calculation, made adjustments for cardboard and other paper-based consumer packaging in different commodity bales.
• Provided our rates as a range to acknowledge aspects of the calculations are based on estimates.
• As a process step, enlisted an independent, third-party reviewer to examine its methodology and findings to ensure their rigor and validity.
  

Since 2019, our industry has announced or is expected to complete projects by 2025 that will use more than 9 million tons of recycled paper. These projects include building new mills, converting or expanding existing mills, and updating machinery and equipment.

"This updated methodology will direct our industry's efforts to capture even more paper for use in manufacturing new products," said Brock.